Drinking Liberally Idaho Falls Chapter Blog

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Black Lives Matter

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, August 25th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Roy Zimmerman's concert last weekend was awesome, as expected.  But one of his songs - DWB - was painful and brought me to tears.

Meanwhile, the Black Lives Matter sign at the Idaho Falls Unitarian Universalist Church has been vandalized for the third time, just after Rev Lyn received several emails demanding that the sign be removed.

This is too much for me to take.

I'm going to ask you all to contribute some cash this week to donate to the UU Church to support their BLM message, however they see fit.  I will also come with information about how to support the national BLM movement, if you like.  I had purchased a BLM tshirt, but it shrunk in the wash, and now belongs to Carly.  I need to order a new one.  [And yes ... for now I am worried about Carly wearing that shirt.  But I will wear one proudly.]


The best response that Lyn found was to attach a notice to the sign that proclaims that every time someone vandalizes it, a contribution will be made to the BLM movement.  I would like Drinking Liberally to help supply the funds for that.  Plus, I'd love it if word could get out that the attacks have resulted in direct contributions.

Please come this week, and share your ideas about how to support and defend the BLM movement here in Idaho Falls.


Has anyone figured out who actually runs Trump's campaign?  Steve Bannon is the "campaign CEO," whatever that means.  Kellyanne Conway is the "campaign manager."  Until he quit, Paul Manafort was the "campaign chairman."  What do all these jobs entail, and who is the top dog?

I guess we can just be thankful that Roger Ailes, Sean Hannity, and Michele Bachmann are merely "campaign advisors."


Polls Trackers: (77 days until election day)

    Source     Clinton     Trump                     
538 Polls Plus 75.9% 24.1%
538 Polls Only 84.9% 15.1%
538 Now-cast 87.0% 13.0%
The Upshot (NY Times) 89% 11%
RealClearPolitics * 47.0% 41.5%
Talking Points Memo * 46.7% 42.7%
HuffPost Pollster * 47.2% 39.8%
Poll results as of 8/23/2016
* RCP, TPM, and HuffPost report predicted vote totals rather than probability of win

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"Bill Kristol:  Republican Spoiler, Renegade Jew"
- Breitbart headline, c/o new Trump campaign CEO Steve Bannon

 

"The Solution to Online 'Harassment' Is Simple:  Women Should Log Off"
- Breitbart headline, c/o new Trump campaign CEO Steve Bannon

 

"Gabby Giffords:  The Gun Control Movement's Human Shield"
- Breitbart headline, c/o new Trump campaign CEO Steve Bannon

 

Poem of the Week

Ghost Eden

after Anthony Haughey's "Settlement"

             Garden of rock.
Garden of brick and heather.
             Garden of cranes with their hands raised
as if they know the yellow answer:
             to gather together—safety in numbers.
Garden of drywall frames, holes for windows
             punched out like teeth.  Garden of bar fights.
Garden of rubble and gaps,
             spectral for-sale signs knocked
from wooden posts, bleached down
             to numbers ending in gardens of overgrown lots.
We are falling into ruin, garden
             of scaffolding and shale and gravel-
give us back our peace:  a half-built garden
             of theft, treasures hidden in darkness,
newspapers crumpled on subfloors telling us
             to hold fast to that which is good.
Garden of rebar and saplings with trunks
             encased in corrugated piping
because many animals can girdle
             a tree's bark quickly:  deer, stray cats, rabbits.
Garden of Tyvek wrap loosed
             and flapping like a ship's sail
in the gales, in the sheeting storms.
             Hanging laundry left out in the garden
past darkness, fruit from the tree
             of human-ness:  socks, shirts, underpants.
Garden of long exposures, half-light, traces
             that empty themselves in tire treads running
like ladders through red clay mud:
             the dirt from which we are formed
and crushed and formed again.

About This Poem

"I was on a Fulbright in Northern Ireland last spring and doing research at Belfast Exposed, a contemporary photography gallery, which also has an archive of community photos that include the period of the Troubles. On my way out one day, I picked up a card from an old exhibit of Anthony Haughey's work, which led me to his website, and his images of Irish Ghost Estates—housing developments abandoned mid-build due to the economic crash—called 'Settlement.' I used his images to write this poem."
-Erika Meitner

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Some facts about the Clinton Foundation
* Hilarious:  local "pundit" tries to take Neil deGrasse Tyson to task.  Tyson responds.
* Which polls?  All of them.
* Related:  the Trump campaign's distrust of polls
* Joy Reid asks a great question
* What if we just gave people money?
* A profile of Steve Bannon from last year
* White identity under attack:  the alt-right movement
* Who's to blame for our very long recovery?
* A doctor discusses Trump's medical report
* A really haunting short story
* 100 greatest films of this century (so far)
* Extreme gerrymandering in NC
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Trump's Great News

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, August 18th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn't lose any voters." - Donald Trump

Fantastic news from the Trump campaign.  And by "fantastic news," of course, I mean fantastic news for the Democrats (and for America).  He's installed new top campaign staff.  This is the second shake-up in about two months.  Two reasons why this is good news.

First, it indicates that Trump is renewing his primary campaign style, and will not be making any "pivot."  Apparently, Paul Manafort has been leading the effort to moderate Trump's behavior, with negligible success.  His effective demotion and replacement by Bannon indicates that Trump thinks "acting like Trump" is a winning strategy in the general.

Second, it kind of blows my column from last week out of the water.  Trump is NOT thinking about leaving the race.

What can happen in the next 83 days?  Imagine how boring the next presidential campaign is going to be.  We are going to miss Trump.



The podcast Keepin' It 1600 had an interesting interview with Mike Murphy, who was a campaign advisor to Jeb Bush.  He had interesting thoughts about what could have been done to stop Trump.  He also discussed why he became a Cruz guy towards the end of the primary.  It was not because he wanted Cruz to win, but because he wanted to test the common Republican belief that if they just nominated a "true conservative," then lots of voters would come out of the woodwork and the GOP could win a landslide victory.  It's a real belief that many on the right hold.  Murphy thought, if we're going to lose, let's at least get something useful from it.  He thought it would be worth something to know whether the "true conservative" argument is true or false.

As it is, after Trump's upcoming loss, there will be no new information.  There will just be a huge battle over who was wrong.

The other point he made was that the Dems need to be prepared to lose seats in 2018 House elections.  Because there will be Dems elected this year only because of Trump.  I suppose the same can be said of the Senate in 2022.  People holding office not because they were swept in on Clinton's coattails, but because they were swept in on an anti-Trump backlash.


Speaking of podcast insights, there were interesting comments on this Slate Culture Gabfest episode, discussing the movie Idiocracy.

Host Stephen Metcalf pointed to a concept by Mamet that reveres audiences as the ultimate judges of any performace.  And Metcalf pointed out that a group of people can either be a mob or an audience.  The worst thing is a mob.  The best is an audience.

And what they become depends in large part on what is presented to them.  I.e., a mob can be turned into an audience by changing what they are exposed to or the manner of exposing.

Right now, there's a mob supporting Donald Trump for president.  It isn't a large mob - certainly not large enough to win.  But it is troubling, and large enough to cause problems.

Perhaps we should all think about that group of people, and to remember that they can be an audience.  They can rejoin society, and become effective members again, participating in governance rather than fighting it.

We can dream.


Polls Trackers: (83 days until election day)

    Source     Clinton     Trump                     
538 Polls Plus 78.5% 21.4%
538 Polls Only 88.3% 11.6%
538 Now-cast 89.5% 10.4%
The Upshot (NY Times) 87% 13%
Talking Points Memo * 46.5% 39.9%
HuffPost Pollster * 48.1% 39.5%
Poll results as of 8/17/2016
* TPM and HuffPost report predicted vote totals rather than probability of win

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"But Trump is not a run-of-the-mill candidate.  He is a boor who has repeatedly failed to demonstrate even basic fluency in affairs of governance.  He is a crass misogynist who has demeaned women for decades.  He has stoked anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant prejudice for personal gain, retweeted white supremacists and anti-Semites into the mainstream, trafficked in absurd conspiracy theories about everyone from Muslims to his Republican rivals, encouraged violence at his rallies, and promised to commit war crimes if elected.

"He must not be president of the United States.  But more than that, he and his ideology and his supporters must be utterly discredited in the coming election.  The ugly and disreputable ideas that Trump has laundered into the public discourse must be expunged back to the fringes from whence they came.  Every opportunistic politician and voter must be shown unequivocally that Trumpism is an absolute electoral non-starter."
- Yair Rosenberg

 

Poem of the Week

My Dog Pal

Once, in the yellow glow of the hay barn,
my father and I met a stray, and that dog
stayed and lived with us a while.

I named him "Pal" because he was friendly
and reminded me of a storybook dog.
Even now I can see him sitting

at my feet, his head tipped slightly to one
side, his shoulders squared back against
the passing of another boring day.

Thin and houndy, he was made for wilder
things than fetching sticks and shaking hands with
six-year olds.  I think he was a hobo dog,

and one day he was gone, without
a backwards glance; his house, his dish, his supper
bone-nothing there to tie him down.

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Trump's entirely delusional
*  ... and a conservative agrees
* Daily tear-jerker:  judge allows defendant to hold his baby (why isn't this behavior more prevalent?)
* My friend Negin, on being a Third Thing (great article)
* What humor means, or why Trump isn't funny
* 538:  GOP Senate chances following Trump's decline
* 22 female Olympians screaming
* What's behind HRC derangement syndrome?
* Trump's main strength is killing him
* The night that Obama and Hillary founded ISIS
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Aug 21 Sun Annual PFLAG Potluck - 3:30pm, Kate Curley Park (bring a dish to share)
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Trump Resigns

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, August 11th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

I know lots of people have been speculating about how the GOP will drop Trump.  And a few have even speculated how Trump will leave the race on his own.  Those outcomes always seemed unlikely to me.  First, there is a limited timeframe for such a change.  Many state laws prohibit changes to the ballot as you get closer to election day.  Some of those limits start kicking in less than a month from now.  So time is short, and there doesn't seem to be any momentum for change.  The Trump supporters seem to be holding their own against the forces of reason, such as they are.

Second, it doesn't look like there is a legal way for the GOP to initiate that change.  They have no way to force him out.


But they could buy him out, I suppose.  If Trump's massive ego would allow it.

So even though nearly everyone sees disaster ahead for the GOP, it seems like Trump is in it to stay.  But as I think about how Trump might go about leaving the race, it kind of starts to seem more likely.

Just imagine how he would break that news.

Folks, this has been an amazing campaign.  Nobody ever ran a better campaign than me, against worse odds.  I beat 17 or 18 seasoned politicians who had a lot of money.  Came out of nowhere and beat them like a stepchild.  It was beautiful.

Then I was catching up with the Democratic darling, the woman that they've been grooming for the presidency for the last 25 years.  I was gaining on her every day, and leading in a lot of polls, believe me.

But as I became more and more of a threat to the media and the establishment, it became more obvious that they were not going to let me win.  They just couldn't let that happen.  I was too much a threat to them.

And while I could stick it out and I might even win, the fact is that this has been a rigged process from the start.  You know it and I know it.  It's just not a good deal for me.

And even though I've proven that I can dominate the entire political game, and I can win easily - there comes a time when you have to evaluate the pros and cons of continuing.

You know, I didn't achieve such great success in my life by making bad decisions.  I always knew how to get out of a bad situation and even make a bunch of money doing it.  Part of making great deals is making sure that you have an escape plan.

So while I have never been one to quit - I've never quit anything in my life and I'm not about to start now - I have decided that my time would be better spent by returning to deal-making.  I've done so many great deals in my life, and this political thing has been just a huge distraction to be honest.  So I'm going back to what I do best - creating jobs and building beautiful buildings.

And besides, who wants to work this hard for job that pays ... what? ... like, $150 or $200K a year? - I spend that much in tips!

You people have been great - I love all of you.  I have so many friends I've made during this campaign.  Please come to Mar-a-Lago sometime.  It'll be great.  You'll have a beautiful room, great food, a very relaxing time.  Or stay at any Trump property, I'd love to see you there.

Doesn't that sound like a face-saving way out for Trump?  Can't you imagine that happening in this crazy election season?


Polls Trackers:

    Source     Clinton     Trump                     
538 Polls Plus 79.5% 20.5%
538 Polls Only 87.5% 12.4%
538 Now-cast 96.4% 3.6%
Talking Points Memo * 48.4% 38.4%
The Upshot (NY Times) 85% 15%
(as of 8/9/2016)  (* TPM reports predicted outcome rather than probability of win)

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"In every presidential election since 1888, the members and Executive Board of the Harvard Republican Club have gathered to discuss, debate, and eventually endorse the standard-bearer of our party.  But for the first time in 128 years, we, the oldest College Republicans chapter in the nation, will not be endorsing the Republican nominee.

"Donald Trump holds views that are antithetical to our values not only as Republicans, but as Americans.  The rhetoric he espouses - from racist slander to misogynistic taunts - is not consistent with our conservative principles, and his repeated mocking of the disabled and belittling of the sacrifices made by prisoners of war, Gold Star families, and Purple Heart recipients is not only bad politics, but absurdly cruel."
- Harvard Republican Club

 

"[T]he idea that they are even in the same league is preposterous.  If deception were a sport, Trump would be the Olympic gold medalist; Clinton would be an honorable mention at her local Y."
- Nicholas Kristof

 

Poem of the Week

Failing and Flying

Everyone forgets that Icarus also flew.
It's the same when love comes to an end,
or the marriage fails and people say
they knew it was a mistake, that everybody
said it would never work.  That she was
old enough to know better.  But anything
worth doing is worth doing badly.
Like being there by that summer ocean
on the other side of the island while
love was fading out of her, the stars
burning so extravagantly those nights that
anyone could tell you they would never last.
Every morning she was asleep in my bed
like a visitation, the gentleness in her
like antelope standing in the dawn mist.
Each afternoon I watched her coming back
through the hot stony field after swimming,
the sea light behind her and the huge sky
on the other side of that.  Listened to her
while we ate lunch.  How can they say
the marriage failed?  Like the people who
came back from Provence (when it was Provence)
and said it was pretty but the food was greasy.
I believe Icarus was not failing as he fell,
but just coming to the end of his triumph.

Jack Gilbert

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * A tweetstorm by Propane Jane
* ... and another tweetstorm by a Bush advisor
* From back in May:  Why Trump can't win
* Is this campaign the death of "both sides" journalism?
* Some aspects related to the brains of Trump supporters
* Melania's immigration questions
* Yeah, they're really setting new lows in describing Trump
* A note from Capt Humayun Khan's commanding officer
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Post-convention Bounces

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, July 28th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

What a convention bounce looks like
(538's Now-cast for August 1st - what if the election were held today)

Something tells me that I'm going to sound a bit like the broken record over the next 100 or so days.  Trump really, really sucks as a candidate and politician.  And the more he continues to trail in the polls, the more he will lash out.  It's a negatively reinforcing cycle.

He bragged in advance about pulling off a great convention, and then falls flat with an embarrassing third-rate show, including the spectacular Cruz non-endorsement.  He predicted that the DNC convention will fall flat, and constantly mocked it during the event - even though it was a professional convention with so many moving speeches.

Trump's silly fight against the Khans has baffled most of the GOP leadership, threatening the modest levels of unity he had achieved.


Trump raised $35 million in July. Clinton raised $90 million.

Trump still has no campaign infrastructure.

Trump is preemptively preparing for defeat - prepping his fans for deligitimizing Clinton's presidency by calling the process fixed.

And yesterday, he threw a mother holding a crying baby out of his rally.  I have no doubt that he will claim that he was just joking (see quotations below).

There is simply no way that this guy will win in November.  It's much more likely that this campaign will result in his imprisonment for financial fraud than a victory.

The only drawback to having the Trump clown lose this election badly is that the GOP base will still believe that they could have won, if they'd only chosen Cruz or Rubio.  I almost wish that the Dems were beating a more traditional candidate instead of Trump.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"In talking about Trump and the baby, people seem to be focusing on the idea of 'who yells at a baby?'  And it is kind of in line with our questions about his temperament to frame this as Trump yelling at a baby.

But he didn't yell at a baby.  He yelled at a woman who had a baby.

And more importantly, he didn't just yell at her, he gaslighted her, telling her at first that it was OK that her baby was fussing, and then acting like she was nuts for taking him at his word and should have somehow divined magically that he actually wanted her to leave.

This was an example of three horrible things all wrapped up in one.  First, Trump's tendency toward doublespeak, saying one thing, meaning the exact opposite and acting like everyone else is bizarre and ignorant for taking his words at face value.  Second, the aforementioned gaslighting, which is an always an abuse tactic, full out.

Third, and this is a little more nuanced, it's a prime example of the insidious way in which parenting forces women, especially, out of public life.  When babies aren't welcome somewhere, when babies start crying, it is mothers who are expected to stay home, mothers who are expected to take the baby out, mothers whose lives are interrupted.

It's not 'Trump yells at a baby.'

It's 'Trump uses abusive tactics and reinforces marginalization of women with children by yelling at mother of young baby.'

Sometimes brevity is the enemy of an accurate picture of just how bad something is."
- Amadi Lovelace

 

Poem of the Week

The Heart Is a Foreign Country

Ours is a partial language part pantomime,
part grimy guesswork:  adulterated speculation
as to meaning & motivation.

Translated, heart suggests a familiar, universal
device but internal chemistries vary-
though components be the same & not uncommon.

The world owes us nothing.  It promises less.
Call it:  freedom.  Free will.  Or Wednesday.

About This Poem

"Falling in love with a Dane whose English is (almost) perfect but whose heart and temperament are decidedly Danish required me to reevaluate (& recalibrate) what I'd believed to be my exceptional communication skills.  This poem articulates a portion of that (at times grueling) process."
-Rangi McNeil

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Khazir Khan's DNC speech
* The Khan trap for Republicans
* A Republican explains why the GOP is dying
* Why the DNC email hack is worse than Watergate
* Trump asks Capitol Hill for help, gets crickets
* All Trump's lies in one day
* Why Clinton's lead may be larger than polls show
* Great list of all the terrible things Hillary Clinton has done
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Special Event Reminder

 

Special Event Reminder

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, July 28th
Time SPECIAL TIME!  6 to 10pm
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the former Guesthouse Inn, now called the FairBridge Inn)
 



Sen Tim Kaine (Vice Presidential candidate)
and future president Hillary Clinton

SPECIAL EVENT!  Join us a little bit early this tonight and listen to Hillary Clinton's acceptance speech.  Her speech is scheduled for 7pm, so we will start assembling at 6pm.  Also, to make sure that we can hear, we will be meeting in a banquet room instead of our regular location in the restaurant.  But we will have regular food and drink service from the Bee's Knees.

This special event will be co-sponsored by the Bonneville Democrats and the Hillary Clinton campaign.

I've been watching the DNC convention, and it has been highly entertaining.  Quite a reversal from last week.  I hope you can join us!

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

DNC Convention Edition

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, July 28th
Time SPECIAL TIME!  6 to 10pm
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the former Guesthouse Inn, now called the FairBridge Inn)
 

Sen Tim Kaine (Vice Presidential candidate)
and future president Hillary Clinton

SPECIAL EVENT!  Join us a little bit early this week and listen to Hillary Clinton's acceptance speech.  Her speech is scheduled for 7pm, so we will start assembling at 6pm.  Also, to make sure that we can hear, we will be meeting in a banquet room instead of our regular location in the restaurant.  But we will have regular food and drink service from the Bee's Knees.

This special event will be co-sponsored by the Bonneville Democrats and the Hillary Clinton campaign.

I've been watching the DNC convention, and it has been highly entertaining.  Quite a reversal from last week.  I hope you can join us!


The dire warnings are showing up this week - that Trump is catching up with Clinton in the polls.  Poppycock.


First, most polls were showing a mild to strong lead for Clinton prior to the RNC convention.  That's what you expect when a candidate has a solid lead - that the polls will show a range of mild to strong.  A few polls will show a very close race, a few will show a blowout for Clinton, and a bell-curve distribution in the middle.

Trump might have actually seen a convention bump.  You'd expect that in this case as he had a low popularity within his own party, with lots of room for upward growth.  A convention is a big exciting event, and lots of people tend to make an internal commitment to back their party's candidate, good or bad.

Clinton also has lots of room for a post-convention pump.  The last of the Sanders supporters will give up their unrealistic hope for a last-ditch Sanders nomination.  Most of them will make the conscious decision to support Clinton.

And it will help that the Dems are actually running a national convention worth the label.

Second, national polls get less worthwhile as we get closer to the election.  The media will continue to use them as a measure of the horserace, even though those polls don't really measure anything that directly pertains to how we elect presidents.  Only the state polls in those states that aren't solid red or solid blue matter.  And they should be weighted by their electoral college importance, too.

So relax.  FiveThirtyEight shows a national popular vote lead of just over 1% for Clinton in its average of polls.  Yet their election forecast shows about 5% difference in the chance of winning the presidency.  And Clinton will see a similar (if not larger) bump next week.


What do you all think of Tim Kaine as the VP pick?  I was hoping for someone more exciting on paper ... a younger Hispanic, an all-female ticket, a very progressive pick, etc.  I thought a "safe" pick would be disappointing.

But after hearing his speech at the roll-out, I am less worried.  Good speaker, good campaigner, good history of working to help people.  He'll do a lot to help the ticket, and was a solid pick.  Hollis came away with a lot of enthusiasm after hearing him speak.

Remember, Barack Obama picked Joe Biden.  Also a very safe, establishment pick.  And now he's beloved Uncle Joe.

One thing I was thinking about ... and this is pure speculation ... was that perhaps the Democratic establishment is trying to manage the amount of change that they introduce through candidates.  Let me explain.

The Dems know that they have certain demographic advantages among traditionally ignored subcategories within the population.  They lead among most racial minorities, among women, among LGBTQ, among youth, etc.  And they knew in 2008 that nominating the first black was a huge thing for a lot of people - it generates a lot of excitement.  This year, nominating a woman will have the same affect on the general enthusiasm for the Dem base.  Eventually, nominating a Hispanic, a gay person, or an all-female ticket will be historic events.

So maybe they're thinking that they don't want to shoot their wad all at once.  Maybe they want to spread these changes out over time, so that they have the most impact over the most number of national elections.

Just a thought.  A bit cynical, perhaps.  It feels a little calculating to be thinking about it that way.  You don't want to be seen as actually doing that in any way - you want people to believe that your party has nominated the best posssible candidates, regardless of demographics.  (That's complete bullshit, by the way - it's never true.  Subject of another column.)  So I have zero evidence to back up my supposition.

But it's an interesting thought.  And it makes me feel better about my wrong prediction of Julian Castro as the VP pick.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"To the Bernie-or-Bust people:  you're being ridiculous."
- Sarah Silverman

 

"He preyed on people who had fallen on hard times.  He's conned them, he's defrauded them, and he's ripped them off."
- Sen Elizabeth Warren

 

Poem of the Week

Tamer and Hawk

I thought I was so tough,
But gentled at your hands,
Cannot be quick enough
To fly for you and show
That when I go I go
At your commands.

Even in flight above
I am no longer free:
You seeled me with your love,
I am blind to other birds-
The habit of your words
Has hooded me.

As formerly, I wheel
I hover and I twist,
But only want the feel,
In my possessive thought,
Of catcher and of caught
Upon your wrist.

You but half civilize,
Taming me in this way.
Through having only eyes
For you I fear to lose,
I lose to keep, and choose
Tamer as prey.

Thom Gunn

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Check out Trump's positions.  All seven of them.
* Compare that to Hillary's positions
* A long history of Hillary hatred (this is a seriously good article)
* A very good article on Milo and his brand of conservative troll
* The DNC email nonsense
* A great comprehensive list of Trump's crazy views
* The two countries of the Democrats
* Trump's Russian links
* Let me remind you fuckers who I am (by Hillary Clinton)
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 7 Sun Soup Kitchen - join us from 11:30am - 2pm
 
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

RNC Convention Edition

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, July 21st
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the former Guesthouse Inn, now called the FairBridge Inn)
 


"Cartoon" from Bob Gorrell run by the Post Register
(Click to embiggen)

I'd love to write about the GOP Convention, because it's been so enjoyable.  It really is indicative of a party in slow collapse.  I don't mean that any of the minor #NeverTrump uproars.  I'm just thinking of the grand spectacle.  A party that cannot attract quality speakers.  A party that has no up-and-coming talent.  A party that cannot stop demanding jail for Clinton.  The regressive platform.  A party that can be so embarrassed by a former rival.  And the forced cheerfulness and optimism while in a disasterous campaign.

Once the election is over, it will be time for finger-pointing.  And there will be so many fingers pointing in so many directions that they will never figure out how to right the ship.  Half will blame the Trump nomination, and the other half will blame the first half for not being enthusiastic enough about Trump.  Half will say the GOP is becoming too extreme, and the other half will say that they aren't extreme enough.  Half will blame the insurgents and half will blame the establishment.


But time is already short this week, and I am late with this notice.  So I apologize for self-plagiarizing (which seems to be all the rage this week), but here's a recent letter exchange in the Post Register pertaining to the "editorial cartoon" shown above.

 

Remarkably dishonest and embarrassing
Received July 2

I understand that the Post Register strives to present a balanced editorial view in their national columns and editorial cartoons.  But there is no excuse for publishing the garbage that Bob Gorrell presents.  Why do you feel that contributing to the ignorance of your readership is of value?

His "cartoon" of Clinton holding up bloody hands and the Benghazi report (July 2) is remarkably dishonest and an embarrassment to your editorial integrity.

It is false and propagandistic trash like this that has convinced a large chunk of conservatives that truth doesn't matter.  Hence Donald Trump.

Shame on you.

DAN HENRY
Idaho Falls

So on July 15, the following letter appeared:

Cartoon controversy
Received July 10

A reader recently called into question the Post Register's editorial integrity for publishing a certain political cartoon concerning Mrs. Hillary Clinton.  It appeared that the editorial middle finger was deployed by the Post Register in response, by publishing another by the same cartoonist above the reader's letter.

This reader was concerned that conservatives would be convinced that the truth doesn't matter due to this "propagandistic trash."

Since this gent was coming to the defense of Mrs. Clinton, who I believe lied to the world about the cause of the Benghazi attack and to the faces of the families of those killed, it seems the left already believes the truth doesn't matter.

I hope this letter isn't edited beyond recognition due some imagined threat.

FRANK CLARK
Ammon

I've sent in the following in response, but Commentary page editor Katie Stokes has rejected it:

In his letter of 7/15, Frank Clark proves my point about the problem with propaganda published in the Post Register.  He alleges the left ignores facts.  Why?  Because he "believes" that Secretary Clinton has lied about Benghazi.  Why does he believe that?  Well, perhaps it's because the Post Register is paying to publish right-wing propaganda in a misguided attempt at "balance" (in this case in the form of a despicable political cartoon by Bob Gorrell).

Gorrell's cartoon depicted our likely future president holding up the GOP-drafted report that concluded she had not lied.  Gorrell depicts her with bloody hands, apparently "believing" she is guilty anyway, in spite of fact.

The PR wisely decided to stop publishing letters questioning the fact of global warming.  Why are you paying Gorrell in order to publish his lies about Secretary Clinton?  What is your editorial policy on publishing self-contradictory propaganda from paid sources?  Are you happy feeding the delusions of Frank Clark?  Do you see a connection between Gorrell's lies appearing in reputable newspapers and the candidacy of a dishonest buffoon like Donald Trump, who asserts his "beliefs" that Muslims in NJ cheered on 9/11 and that moments of silence were held for the Dallas sniper?

As long as you feed falsehoods to the Frank Clarks of the world, you are failing at your responsibility to inform, enlighten, and promote civility.

I thought our newspapers had an obligation to shed light.  That was my belief, anyway.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Poem of the Week

Evolution

How, Alan Turing thought, does the soft-walled,
jellied, symmetrical cell
become the asymmetrical horse?  It was just before dusk,
the sun's last shafts doubling the fence posts,
all the dark mares on their dark shadows.  It was just
after Schrodinger's What is Life,
not long before Watson, Franklin, Crick, not long before
supper.  How does a chemical soup,
he asked, give rise to a biological pattern?  And how
does a pattern shift, an outer ear
gradually slough its fur, or a shorebird's stubby beak
sharpen toward the trout?
He was halfway between the War's last enigmas
and the cyanide apple-two bites-
that would kill him.  Halfway along the taut wires
that hummed between crime
and pardon, indecency and privacy.  How do solutions,
chemical, personal, stable, unstable,
harden into shapes?  And how do shapes break?
What slips a micro-fissure
across a lightless cell, until time and matter
double their easy bickering?  God?
Chance?  A chemical shudder?  He was happy and not,
tired and not, humming a bit
with the fence wires.  How does a germ split to a self?
And what is a-We are not our acts
and remembrances
, Schrodinger wrote.  Should something-
God, chance, a chemical shudder?-
sever us from all we have been, still it would not kill us.
It was just before dusk, his segment
of earth slowly ticking toward night.  Like time, he thought,
we are almost erased by rotation,
as the dark, symmetrical planet lifts its asymmetrical cargo
up to the sunset:  horses, ryegrass-
In no case, then, is there a loss of personal existence to deplore-
marten, whitethroat, blackbird,
lark-nor will there ever be.

About This Poem

"Three years ago, while living in London, I saw an exhibition at the Science Museum on Alan Turing's life-his work as a decoder in World War II, his persecution as a homosexual, his death by cyanide at forty-four.  Although the focus of Turing's work was not evolution, he did ask how the symmetrical cell could become the asymmetrical being.  When I found myself asking similar questions about Turing's personal evolution, my poem took shape."
-Linda Bierds

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Great new concept:  Trump's Razor
* List of Trump campaign excuses for plagiarism
* Don't let polls fool you:  Trump is still way behind
* A somewhat negative review of VP candidate Mike Pence
* Fox host attacks Caroline Heldman (IF City Club guest)
* "Islamic radicalism" is meaningless
* Great:  Trump's ghostwriter tells all
* MRA locks himself out of his car (hilarious)
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

BLM, Berniebros, and the GOP

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, July 14th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Picture:  Jonathan Bachman, Reuters

I'm sure you've seen this powerful image taken in Baton Rouge.  It really speaks to the current situation on many levels.  Such dignity and strength in the woman's bearing.  The cops looking like stormtroopers, relying on battle armor, force, and excessive numbers.  The state having to fear this unarmed woman standing in front of them, yet appearing to be in a delicate dance with her.  And that's on top of the beauty of the picture itself - the framing of the shot and its timing.

No doubt this photo will win awards.  I'd bet on a Pulitzer.


It is much like the famous Tiananmen Square shot of the protester standing up to the tank, even if her life wasn't directly at risk.  A single individual standing up against overwhelming state force.  And the #BlackLivesMatter organization is on the right side of history, pushing our institutions into needed changes.

You can help BLM by donating here.


Conservatives convinced themselves that Clinton was obviously guilty on the email thing.  Given that, their only reaction to the FBI finding was to denounce it as a conspiracy and initiate more investigations.  The GOP just could not admit that Clinton was innocent, as they were blinded by their comforting assumptions.

Similarly, Sanders supporters convinced themselves that Clinton is a Republican, that Sanders is revolutionary, and that their numbers are vital to a win for the Democratic candidate in November.  They also thought that Sanders's ideas would be more popular.

So when Clinton pulled away from Sanders, they couldn't accept it.  It became all about voter fraud, about establishment favoritism, and about blind Clinton support.  And now they cannot accept that Clinton isn't begging Sanders for his support.

Some eople who believe those things might be inclined to do some pretty scummy things in response to Clinton's win (hi, Berniebros!).  They will also be convinced that the Clinton side acted first and deserves their outraged response.

We should all be careful not to be convinced by our desires.


Remember back in 2012, after the GOP's embarrassing loss in the presidential race - even though they thought they were on the road to victory?  Remember how they came out of a come-to-Jesus meeting and announced that there were several things they had to do better?

  • They needed to quit attacking women
  • They needed to broaden their appeal to minorities
  • They needed to reach out to the LGBTQ community
  • They needed a more likeable candidate
  • They needed to demonstrate that they could govern effectively

Please tell me again how you think the GOP has any shot at winning the presidency?

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"We were brought here in chains, against our will.  Beaten, raped, abused, and then tortured if we fought back.  Our men valued for their strength and brawn until that physicality no longer lined your pockets, and then we became frightening and aggressive.

"We were lynched, terrorized in our own country, and denied the rights that we were entitled to in our own Constitution.  We served our nation to secure freedom for the world, only to return to a nation in which we ourselves were not free.

"We are targeted, harassed, falsely accused and then told we bring this on ourselves because we do not 'act like the rest of society.'  But did any of the above happen to the rest of society?

"I'm tired.  Tired of smoothing your ruffled feathers in my presence because of your fear.  Tired of being exceptional so that I can be treated like 'the rest of society.'

"I'm tired of having to argue my humanity to you.

"But most of all, tired of looking into the faces of my little boys, and feeling like I have to extinguish their joy, their exuberance, because you think 'black men are more dangerous than men of other races.'

"My boys like Pokemon, probably like your boys.  My boys play soccer, probably like your boys.  My boys are bright, and curious and gifted, probably like your boys.  But my boys will be hunted.  Will yours?"
- Midwest Dermatologist in Maryland, a comment on a NYTimes article on the Dallas shooting

 

"Terror was visited on Dallas Thursday night.  Unspeakable terror.  We are not strangers to terror.  You make us afraid to walk the streets, for at any moment, a blue-clad officer with a gun could swoop down on us to snatch our lives from us and say that it was because we were selling cigarettes, or compact discs, or breathing too much for your comfort, or speaking too abrasively for your taste.  Or running, or standing still, or talking back, or being silent, or doing as you say, or not doing as you say fast enough."
- Michael Eric Dyson

 

Poem of the Week

Allowables

I killed a spider
Not a murderous brown recluse
Nor even a black widow
And if the truth were told this
Was only a small
Sort of papery spider
Who should have run
When I picked up the book
But she didn't
And she scared me
And I smashed her

I don't think
I'm allowed

To kill something

Because I am

Frightened

Nikki Giovanni

About This Author

Nikki Giovanni was previously featured in my DL newsletter.

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Michael Eric Dyson:  Death in Black and White
* Ezra Klein:  a deep look at Clinton's personality (good and bad)
* Did Trump really build an empire with just a small loan?
* How liberal is the Dem platform?
* Why President Obama isn't bringing us together
* Jamelle Bouie:  are we coming together or falling apart
* Ta-Nehisi Coates:  the certainty of anti-police violence
* Trump's meeting with the GOP Senators was testy
* NRA cases a mall for terrorist attack
* From the You-don't-say? department:  Trump being incoherent
* What the GOP attack on FBI Director Comey says about the modern GOP
* How to talk to your kids about violence and racism
* 2016 general election debate schedule
* God creating various animals
* Where is the middle of nowhere?  (It's closer than you might think.)
* Fry sauce & Utah
* GOP Convention schedule
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

What a Week

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, July 7th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the Guesthouse Inn)
 

About two weeks ago we learned that Clinton has $42 million in the bank, while Trump has less money than Ben Carson.

Since that time, a variety of polls come out that show significant Clinton leads.  Five Thirty-Eight relases their 2016 General Election Forecast, showing a near 80% likelihood of a Clinton win.

Around the same time the House Whatever Committee that wasted $millions investigating the Benghazi "scandal" released their report exhonorating Clinton.

Just a week before that, Trump fired his campaign manager.  And since that time he's struggled to fill certain key positions.  It seems that many of the mainstream GOP political operatives do not want the Trump campaign on their resumes.


Trump did some buffoonish things ... too many to even remember after a week.  He started with a long awaited speech where he was supposed to have hit Clinton hard.  Turned out it was just a long littany of lies and whiffs.

Then he went to Scotland to open a golf resort and botched the whole Brexit thing.

Then he ended the week with a tweet that many felt was anti-Semitic.  The people who felt it was anti-Semitic were the ADL and other Jewish groups, and the various white supremicists who cheered Trump's tweet as if it were an acknowledgement of Trump's support.

Those groups seem to me to be pretty reliable on the whole anti-Semitic thing.

Clinton appeared with President Obama in their first joint campaign appearance, and also with Sen Warren.  Great successes.

Speculation on the VP picks being considered by Trump is filling the Dems with glee.  Chris Christie and Newt Gingrich seem to be leading the candidates on the spinny wheel, with Joni Ernst and Tom Cotton thrown in to make the hardliners happy.  Bob Corker backed out in the nick of time, and nobody of quality is raising his or her hand.

Then the Director of the FBI announced that no charges would be recommended against Clinton on the email scandal witch hunt.

Just as the media were about to spend a day speculating on how much this all hurt Clinton, Trump decides to praise Saddam Hussein's leadership and double down on the anti-Semitism.

Just think.  Only 18 more weeks to go.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Quotations of the Week

"I'll leave that to the American people to decide."
- Sen Mitch McConnell, on whether Trump is qualified to be president

 

"I think [Donald Trump] stands for an evolving process of trying to come to grips with really big problems."
- Newt Gingrich, potential VP pick

 

"I don't believe that Donald Trump meant it in the manner that he said it."
- Gov Jan Brewer

 

Poem of the Week

Skit:  Sun Ra Welcomes the Fallen

Jupiter means anger.  Sun Ra does not.  Sun Ra dances the Cake Walk on Saturn's pulpy eyes.  If you believe that, I'll tell you another one.  The first is 13 and the next is 20.  They were not good boys but they were boys.  They were boys who died for this thing or that.  The next was 16 and the last was 18.  One had a cell phone.  One had a gun.  On earth, a goose opens its chest to a sound.  The goose takes the bullet this way.  A sacrifice denied to the wind since there is no such thing as sacrifice anymore having succumbed to fever and the millennium.  The bullet is all consequence.  Sun Ra refuses red-long and high, low and deep.  His arms are long enough to embrace them.

Ruth Ellen Kocher
(Listen to an audio version)

About This Poem

"This poem makes myth out of tragedy as a way to cope with the sublime horror of our racial reality.  We hear stories of black men and boys being gunned down every day.  Most of us wake up in the morning without expecting such a narrative to unfold in our own lives but, for me, and most other Black Americans, the body in the street is my husband.  The body is my son.  The body is my grandson who was sitting with me last night on the couch eating pizza.  Sun Ra is a fantastic and mythic hope, a cosmic embrace, that refuses the familiar narrative of slain black bodies."
-Ruth Ellen Kocher

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Is the Stop Trump movement still alive?
* Robert Kennedy explains economics (something Trump doesn' t get)
* The GOP's war on voting is working
* Things I am tired of hearing
* David Broder gets one right (too bad he's been part of the problem he points out for a decade)
* What Clinton's emails say about her
* Charles Pierce:  how the GOP failed on the emails
* The Trump campaign is just a giant safe space for the right
* Phil Plait, Bad Astronomer, on the GOP's denial of reality
* Florida's AG is in deep trouble
* Jimmy Kimmel:  hilarious outing of Clinton-haters
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally
 
Sept 16-17 Fri-Sat Idaho Falls Pride
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

DL is On This Week

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, June 30th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Hollis and I will be back from our week-long vacation.  We haven't really paid attention to the news, so you all will have to update us.

Were there any international events of significance - such as a British vote to leave the EU?  And did Trump embarrass himself as usual?

Were there any Nazi-sponsored Trump rallies that erupted in violence?

Did Trump try to mock President Obama for playing golf while he was in Scotland opening a golf resort?

Did the GOP release some report about the lack of any evidence of Clinton's failures in Benghazi following a multi-year, multi-million dollar investigation?

Anything else going on?

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Schedule

       
July 3 Sun Soup Kitchen - join us from 11:30am - 2pm
 
Aug 20 Sat Roy Zimmerman in concert
 
Sept 15 Thurs Laughing Liberally