Drinking Liberally Idaho Falls Chapter Blog

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Piss Off

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, December 1st
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Trump asked the press not to use unflattering pics
so DO NOT spread this around, whatever you do

News:  There is a new group in town that you may be interested in.  It's called the Idaho Falls Progressives.  They are having their second meeting this Wednesday (IF Public Library, 6:30pm).  My understanding is that the group will be more action-oriented than is ours.  I think it's a great idea, and great for Idaho Falls.  I look forward to working together with them in our similar goals.

Here's a proposed agenda for tomorrow:

Business (10 min)
   Leadership committee
   Mission Statement
   Facebook group administration
   Writers needed for "More of the Story" blog

Issue Discussion Part 1 & 2 (break into small groups & rotate after 20 min) (40 min total)
   Sanctuary city
   Electoral college changes
   Running for office
   Healthcare (including Medicaid expansion)
   Other

Debrief Issue Discussion (10 min)


Things to do to piss off Trump:

  • Give to Planned Parenthood, the ACLU, the SPLC, immigration rights groups, and any other organization that supports people and ideas that Trump has denounced or threatened
  • Help Idaho Falls become a sanctuary city
  • Downrate Trump properties in Yelp
  • Give his books scathing reviews on Amazon
  • Join the Democratic Party, and work for them
  • Do your part to support Trump piñata sales
  • If you ever get the chance, ask him when he plans to start MAGAing
  • Pester our legislators and ask them when they will investigate Trump's many illegal activities
  • Subscribe to the NYTimes and/or WaPo


I will likely get to the point where I can be polite to Trump voters, mostly.  But I cannot forgive Trump himself, or those who worked on his behalf.  I feel it is my patriotic duty and moral imparative to make the lives of those people as uncomfortable as possible over the next four years.  They thought they could lie and cheat their way into office, and now to use this scummy faux-win as a way to implement huge, damaging changes to our society?

They didn't act with honor, so treating them with respect at this point will only make their path easier.  I'm not participating.  I want them to suffer for their dishonesty, their corruption, and their immorality.

Got any other ideas?  Come to DL this week and share them.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

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Quotations of the Week

"If we want to have a white state or a white community or a white homeland, we should be able to have that.  We respect that for all people.  If we look at the NAACP, black people have the right to have that.  Why can't white people have a WAACP?"
- Preston Wiginton

 

"It is as though one were to debate with a potential murderer as to whether his future victim were dead or alive, completely forgetting that man can kill and that the murderer, by killing the person in question, could promptly provide proof of the correctness of this statement."
- Jamelle Bouie

 

"We've tried to do similar things to liberals.  It just has never worked, it never takes off.  You'll get debunked within the first two comments and then the whole thing just kind of fizzles out."
- Jestin Coler, fake news writer

 

Poem of the Week

Opportunity Costs

Thrushes, alert for opportunity,
sleep in winks of thirty seconds or less.

Has Guinness tracked the longest sigh on record
and was it exhaled in exasperation or ecstasy?

In the measure of apothecaries, one scruple
equals twenty grains, a lot of data to debunk.

Four centuries ago a watchmaker set up the first circus
of fleas tied to carts.  Since then,

entertainment has changed a lot—explosions, all the rage.
Not long ago whistling in an office could get you fired,

and now who of us blinks at torture taken to the brink
of drowning, not once per body, but a vomitous number

I'm not going to hurt you with, and who asks how often
mouth-to-mouth—the torturer locking lips with the tortured

to revive him for another round.  An alarm rings
to wake the thrush for the next

threat, thus serving the species for survival
of the fittest, while in the Situation Room, our best,

fit to kill, compute opportunity costs with the poise
of the guys whose billboards brag, "We buy ugly houses."

Give me the scale that weighs a whistle, a flea,
the song of a thrush, the sum of pain caused

by people of conscience, people ignoring it.
Is opportunity tired of being missed?

Does it sigh the way we sigh?

About This Poem

"This poem had many meanderings, until it finally declared itself to be this stern recounting of choices, and their consequences, moving from the past to the present, from animal to human, from innocence to immorality."
-Barbara Ras

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * No, Trump, we can't just get along
* Fascinating:  timeline of a fake news story
*  ... & a fake news writer describes his job
* Yglesias:  we need to stop Trump during transition
* Beutler:  Obama is warning us about Trump
* A regional example of what Trump's election means:  NYC may destroy immigrant ID database
* Looks like Trump will have to sell at least one hotel
* The truth about Trump's lies
* Kristof: 
a 12-step program for dealing with the election
* Trump's bad arguments, illustrated
* The whole email story, simply described
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Nov 30 Wed Idaho Falls Progressives:  6:30pm - 8pm, IF Public Library
 
Dec 4 Sun Last Soup Kitchen - join us from 11:30am - 2pm
 
Dec 16 Fri IF City Club:  Dr Ken Krell and Rep Tom Loertscher, Idaho Medicaid Expansion, Will It Happen? (Bennion SUB, noon - 1:30pm)

 

 

Thanksgiving Break

 

Thanksgiving

Of course, there's no Drinking Liberally meeting this week.  But I did want to drop you all a note of appreciation.  This group means so much to me.  And especially this year, after this election.  I hope that DL has provided each of you with some measure of comfort as well.

That's it.  Have a great Thanksgiving, folks!  See you on December 1st.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

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Action for the Week

  Drinking Liberally does not take official stands on issues and does not endorse any political candidates or parties.  Items appearing in this message are listed at the discretion of the sender/poster, and are intended for information purposes only.  Any opinions expressed in this message are those of the sender/poster only and not of the Drinking Liberally organization.

* Petition:  make Idaho Falls a sanctuary city

 

Schedule

       
Dec 4 Sun Our LAST Soup Kitchen - join us from 11:30am - 2pm
 

 

 


Note:  ads and promotions may be appended below this note via Living Liberally's email system.  Such promotions help support the Living Liberally family, and make it possible to maintain the infrastructure necessary to keep Living Liberally healthy and growing.  However, no approval from either Idaho Falls Drinking Liberally or Living Liberally as a whole is necessarily intended or implied.

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Apologies

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, November 17th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Special Event:  Tuesday evening there will be a free screening of the film Hope Vetoed at the Paramount Theater.  It's about the failure of Idaho to approve the use of cannabidiol (CBD) for certain very ill people.  It's produced by the Idaho Freedom Foundation, but it's one area where they are mostly right and one area that has bipartisan support.  You can RSVP and find details at their website.


Also a reminder that we will not meet for DL on Thursday, November 24th, or course.  Please enjoy your Thanksgiving!


Time for apologies.  I'm sorry for being wrong.  I'm sorry for underestimating the number of despicables and overestimating the number of smart voters (or their level of motivation).  I'm sorry if I was overly optimistic.

I'm sorry that I doubted those who recognized the looming loss much earlier than I did - Robert and Chad especially.  It was based in refusal to believe that voters are that stupid.

I'm sorry to those of you who backed Bernie Sanders - although I doubt he would have won in this environment.  It's possible that he could have done better without the imaginary email scandal.  Given the outcome we have, it would have been worth trying Sanders.

I'm sorry that I can't do more to comfort all of you who are disheartened and distraught.  I'm kind of in that category myself.

I'm sorry that I didn't do more to help Clinton.  I sent her money and backed her online, but did no phone banking or precinct walking.  I didn't think those were necessary.

And I'm sorry that I don't understand the situation at all.  I have heard so many bright people pontificate on how this happened and what decent people should do about it - but none of it really makes sense to me.  The whole thing is just baffling.

Should we be mad at Trump voters?  Should we denounce the protests?  Should we give Trump a chance to run the country?  I haven't heard anything that makes a ton of sense.

I remain convinced that most of the people who voted for Trump are uninformed and confused individuals.  They don't understand what they just did.  They voted emotionally.  I also believe that the egos of most of them will not allow them to recognize that fact, ever.

So, please join us this Thursday.  We are sill in the process of healing, and of understanding the colossal failure of the voting public.  We need to develop concensus on how to proceed as a country, given that so many people don't think well.  Come share your perspective.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

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Schedule

       

 

 


Note:  ads and promotions may be appended below this note via Living Liberally's email system.  Such promotions help support the Living Liberally family, and make it possible to maintain the infrastructure necessary to keep Living Liberally healthy and growing.  However, no approval from either Idaho Falls Drinking Liberally or Living Liberally as a whole is necessarily intended or implied.

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Recovery

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, November 10th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

This may be one of the more important Drinking Liberlly gathering that we've ever had.  I know I want all of you to come.


  • " IF City Club - Dr David Adler, Alturas Institute, A Historic Election in Review (Friday, Nov 11, noon - 1:30pm, Bennion SUB)

We have dark, trying times ahead of us.  Nobody knows how bad it will get.  But it will take strength and courage from all of us.  And that starts with us being there for each other.  Because that's what liberalism is:  we are stronger together.

We need to grieve together.  We need to comfort each other.  We need to feel companionship and support.  That's what DL is all about - in good times and bad.

And I need your guidance and counsel.  I feel angry and bitter.  I wonder how this country can come together, when I feel that half the country has just put us in serious risk.  And that half is not about to be conciliatory or gracious.  How do we forgive them?

I promise that for those of you who cannot bear to talk politics right now, we can set aside one end of the section to be a safe zone.  Those that need to process what happened and what went wrong can sit at the other end and carry on that important discussion.

But please come and let everyone know you're OK.  Please come and lend your shoulder.  Please come and lend your compassion.  Please come and recharge your liberal soul.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Schedule

       
Nov 11 Fri IF City Club:  Dr David Adler, Alturas Institute, A Historic Election in Review (Bennion SUB, noon - 1:30pm)
 

 

 


Note:  ads and promotions may be appended below this note via Living Liberally's email system.  Such promotions help support the Living Liberally family, and make it possible to maintain the infrastructure necessary to keep Living Liberally healthy and growing.  However, no approval from either Idaho Falls Drinking Liberally or Living Liberally as a whole is necessarily intended or implied.

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Last DL Before E-Day

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, November 3rd
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Trump & Pence contemplating the week to come

Special Event:  We will have a debate watch party at the Shilo Inn next Tuesday night.  That would be November 8th, I think.  Please come enjoy this historic event with your friends - those who stressed with you, those who worried with you, those who voted with you!

The doors will open about 6pm, but you can come any time.  We will be watching Senate and House and Idaho results for hours.  But keep in mind, the Clinton-Trump race might be over early in the evening (a scenario possible if Clinton takes Florida or North Carolina).  If you want to guarantee that you will be among friends to share hugs and/or tears, then please come early.

The fine folks at Keefer's Island will provide food and drinks for sale.


Well, it's been some week.  Should we be worried about President Trump?

No.

People got upset or excited last Friday when Comey released that letter.  But by Saturday, it already seemed like the emphasis had turned from "new emails!" to "WTF?"  The polls coming out today seem to reflect only a small change.  Some states like Texas may no longer be in play, but they were not needed for a Clinton victory.


  • " Election Day! - Tuesday, Nov 8
  • " Election Night Watch Party - Tuesday, Nov 8, Shilo Inn, details to come

What we've seen with Clinton's polling is that she has been extremely favored to win - in the high 80s or low 90s by some estimates.  In fact, her likelihood of winning was about as close to 100% as such measurements can get.  In that situation, it's very difficult to increase her probability of winning by a percentage point.  But it's very easy to decrease her likelihood of winning by a percentage point.

In other words, there was very little chance that her poll numbers would remain as high as they were, and every likelihood that they would fall somewhat.  It really had to happen.  I see no reason to worry about it very much.

Secondly, what we see is mostly the Republican base getting slightly more enthused about Trump than they were a week ago.  It isn't Clinton losing support.  My poll number table below doesn't show the change from the prior week, but that explains a lot of what is happening.

Because nobody who thought the email issue was bogus back in July when Comey decided not to recommend prosecution has been changed by the new disclosure.  It's still just as bogus, and perhaps even more obviously seen as a witch hunt.  But those people who were distraught in July are now fired up because they think new life has been breathed into their pet issue.  But new enthusiasm among people who were never going to vote for Clinton in any case does not really help Trump substantially.

And I think the right knows it.  At least their leadership and their pundits do.

On Monday, Rush Limbaugh was discussing the Comey letter, and said that Clinton brought all the negative response on herself. That she could have responded in a better way, and the whole thing would have blown over.  He suggested that she should have just said that the emails were probably copies and she was happy if the FBI had a look.  He said that her error was to make it about Comey.

Now, he was probably wrong in that there was nothing at all she could have said to dampen the excitement of the right - they have so little to be excited about.  But he was rationalizing the mostly false excitement that was filling the ranks of the right with enthusiasm, and his role in fanning that.  He was admitting that there was a way for her to explain this latest development that was reasonable.

But I thought it was funny that he was blaming Clinton for causing the problem.  This is a well-known habit of conservatives - blaming victims for their predicament. - But why are they doing that if they think Clinton is going to lose?

Sean Hannity went even further on Monday, saying that if Clinton wins, it'll be a 4-yr lame duck session because she'll never get anything done.  She'll spend so much time defending herself against email and various other corruption charges.  And she will be the one at fault, having brought these difficulties on herself.

It reminded me of how all the racists responded to the election of President Obama by being completely racist, and then blaming Obama for being "divisive."

So come share your thoughts this Thursday at the Bee's Knees.  And if you don't come, there's nobody to blame but you.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Partial list of Trump's insults

Contact

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Poll Trackers

    Probability of Winning     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
538 Polls Plus 67.0% 32.9% 34.1%
538 Polls Only 67.7% 32.2% 35.5%
538 Now-cast 65.4% 34.5% 30.9%
The Upshot (NY Times) 87% 13% 74%
DailyKos 91% 9% 82%
Shareblue 87% 13% 74%
Princeton Electoral Consortium 97% 3% 94%
HuffingtonPost Forecast 98.3% 1.6% 96.7%
Average 65.2%
    Vote Share     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
HuffPost Pollster 48.1% 42.3% 5.8%
RealClearPolitics 47.0% 45.3% 1.7%
Talking Points Memo 47.6% 45.3% 2.3%
USC/LA Times* 42.4% 47.8% (5.4%)
Average 1.1%
    Betting Markets     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
Election Betting Odds 71.2% 27.6% 43.6%
Predict It 67% 35% 32%
Paddy Power** 71.4% 33.3% 38.1%
Average 37.9%
Poll results as of  11/2/2016  (6  days until election day)
*   USC/LA Times poll is weird; they track the same group of 400 voters
** Odds converted to probability [denominator / (denominator + numerator)]

 

Action for the Week

  Drinking Liberally does not take official stands on issues and does not endorse any political candidates or parties.  Items appearing in this message are listed at the discretion of the sender/poster, and are intended for information purposes only.  Any opinions expressed in this message are those of the sender/poster only and not of the Drinking Liberally organization.

* Are you registered?
* Early in-person voting (Oct 24 - Nov 4)

 

Quotations of the Week

"Yes, Mama.  Hillary made it."
- Wanda Urbanska, to her dying mother

 

"The only way the email story could get any worse for Clinton would be if some kind of actual wrongdoing were unearthed at some point."
- Matt Ynglesias

 

"This will always be remembered as the presidential election in which the KKK, the KGB and the FBI all supported the same candidate."
- @Impolitics

 

Poem of the Week

Ode to Teachers

I remember
the first day,
how I looked down,
hoping you wouldn't see
me,
and when I glanced up,
I saw your smile
shining like a soft light
from deep inside you.

"I'm listening," you encourage us.
"Come on!
Join our conversation,
let us hear your neon certainties,
thorny doubts, tangled angers,"
but for weeks I hid inside.

I read and reread your notes
praising
my writing,
and you whispered,
"We need you
and your stories
and questions
that like a fresh path
will take us to new vistas."

Slowly, your faith grew
into my courage
and for you-
instead of handing you
a note or apple or flowers-
I raised my hand.

I carry your smile
and faith inside like I carry
my dog's face,
my sister's laugh,
creamy melodies,
the softness of sunrise,
steady blessings of stars,
autumn smell of gingerbread,
the security of a sweater on a chilly day.

Pat Mora

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * How social media
create angry, poorly informed partisans
* Is there a silent majority ready to elect Clinton?
* How gamergaters helped bring us Trump
* So this is heart-warming story
* The Yale Review refuses to endorse Hillary Clinton
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Nov 6 Sun Soup Kitchen - join us from 11:30am - 2pm
 
Nov 8 Tues Election Night Watch Party (Shilo Inn, details to come)
 
Nov 11 Fri IF City Club:  Dr David Adler, Alturas Institute, A Historic Election in Review (Bennion SUB, noon - 1:30pm)
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Yes, We're Having DL

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, October 20th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 


I find that I have less and less to say about the election.  Which is OK, because I think that the Trump supporters are getting a little disheartened, and haven't got a lot to say either.  Everybody just wants this to be over already.

So, no real thoughts this week.  Hope to see you all tomorrow night at the Bee's Knees for a relaxing time.

One thing I can ask - I would like to make Election Night kind of fun.  I think we should have some activities and games.  If you have any ideas, let's discuss tomorrow night.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Poll Trackers

    Probability of Winning     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
538 Polls Plus 83.2% 16.7% 66.5%
538 Polls Only 85.4% 14.5% 70.9%
538 Now-cast 85.9% 14.0% 71.9%
The Upshot (NY Times) 92% 8% 84%
DailyKos 95% 5% 90%
Shareblue 92% 8% 84%
Princeton Electoral Consortium 96% 8% 88%
HuffingtonPost Forecast 97.5% 2.4% 95.1%
Average 81.3%
    Vote Share     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
HuffPost Pollster 48.0% 40.5% 7.5%
RealClearPolitics 48.4% 43.0% 5.4%
Talking Points Memo 49.4% 41.0% 8.4%
USC/LA Times* 44.2% 45.3% (1.1%)
Average 5.1%
    Betting Markets     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
Election Betting Odds 82.3% 17.1% 65.2%
Predict It 82% 21% 61%
Paddy Power** 85.7% 18.2% 67.5%
Average 64.6%
Poll results as of  10/26/2016  (13  days until election day)
*   USC/LA Times polls is weird; they track the same group of 400 voters
** Odds converted to probability [denominator / (denominator + numerator)]

 

Action for the Week

  Drinking Liberally does not take official stands on issues and does not endorse any political candidates or parties.  Items appearing in this message are listed at the discretion of the sender/poster, and are intended for information purposes only.  Any opinions expressed in this message are those of the sender/poster only and not of the Drinking Liberally organization.

* Are you registered?
* Early in-person voting (Oct 24 - Nov 4)
* Absentee ballot request (must be received by Oct 28)
* Volunteer as a poll watcher (must be submitted by Oct 27 at 5pm)

 

Quotations of the Week

"In truth, the Hillary haters seem to resent her more than disagree with her.  They demand to be humored and catered to.  They hold her to wildly different standards than her male counterparts.  They regard her with an unprecedented degree of suspicion.  Above all, they really, really want to see her punished.  And an aggressive male presence - even if dangerously incompetent - seems to comfort a great many of them."
- Larry Womack

 

"You've redefined how candidates talk about polls.  Some polls now your [sic] winning, some you're behind.  We've got a new poll where you're up in Florida.  What's your general sense of where you are in the battleground states?  Florida, Iowa, Ohio?"
- Mark Halperin, supposed "journalist," interviewing Trump

 

Poem of the Week

Among Women

What women wander?
Not many.  All.  A few.
Most would, now & then,
& no wonder.
Some, and I'm one,
Wander sitting still.
My small grandmother
Bought from every peddler
Less for the ribbons and lace
Than for their scent
Of sleep where you will,
Walk out when you want, choose
Your bread and your company.

She warned me, "Have nothing to lose."

She looked fragile but had
High blood, runner's ankles,
Could endure, endure.
She loved her rooted garden, her
Grand children, her once
Wild once young man.
Women wander
As best they can.

Marie Ponsot

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Why do Trump's supporters stick with him?
* In case you were wondering what Putin might think about Clinton
* John Green gives a short overview of Trump & Clinton tax plans
* Trump's death march
* Millenials get a pleasant surprise
* Trump's campaign may be affecting kids
* Trump fundraisers in possible legal trouble
* Do we have too much free speech?
* The rot at the core of the GOP
* Interesting:  Trump donated to the scam group Project Veritas
* If Donald wins, he'll ramp up those White House receptions
* The 7 worst states for women (thanks, Hollis)
* James Woods is a complete asshole
* Trump is really screwing the GOP
* Wanna see a cute parasite?  Don't look here.
* Great political ad (even thought it's for a Republican)
* Really funny SNL skit:  Black Jeopardy
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Oct 27 Thurs Candidate forum: - Matt Dance vs Jeff Thompson, 7pm, Senior Citizens Community Center (535 W 21st St)
 
Nov 8 Tues Election Night Watch Party (Shilo Inn, details to come)
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Predictions

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, October 20th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Trump's conspiratorial world view

Candidate Forum  This Tuesday evening (Oct 18), Jim De Angelis debate with Janet Trujillo.  It will be at the Senior Citizens Community Center (535 W 21st St).  Both are running for District 33 State Representative (Position A).  The show is sponsored by Carolyn and the League of Women Voters, and starts at 7pm.


Presidential Debate Watch Party - Wednesday evening, Oct 19th.  This is the third and final debate of the presidential election, and Trump is getting more and more desperate.  Should be a riot.  This watch party is a joint production of Drinking Liberally and the Bonneville Democrats.  We're meeting at the new Bonneville Dem's Election Headquarters at 640 S Woodruff.  Show starts at 7pm.



Time to go out on a limb.  I've been wildly optimistic about this presidential election since last fall, before we knew who the candidates were.  And several people suggested that I shouldn't jinx things (or more accurately, that I shouldn't convince people to stay home by suggesting that it's in the bag).

As it turns out, the GOP selected such a horrible candidate that my reasons for optimism cannot really be confirmed.  Sad for me.

I had predicted that the Democratic candidate could not lose.  I still think that's true.  But had the GOP nominated a normal person, the polls would be very close, and the election would be a nail-biter.

Instead, we got Donald Trump.  So the question is only just how badly he will be beaten.

Prediction:  Clinton 347, Trump 191.  She will take Florida and North Carolina, and the game will be over.

[There's a chance that Arizona might flip, adding 11 more EVs to Clinton.  358 - 180.]

I'm guessing that popular vote will be 51% - 44%.  I really have no basis for that other than that I think the margin will be larger than Obama's in 2012 because of Stein and Johnson.  And I really want Clinton to be over 50%.

I will also bet that turnout will be as high as 2012.  About 127 million votes, divided four or five ways.  The idea that there's no enthusiasm this year seems mostly bunk to me.

And the Dems will take the Senate, but not the House.  They will close the margin there.

And Idaho will stay pretty much as is.

What's your prediction?  Come share this Thursday night at the Bee's Knees.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Poll Trackers

    Source     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
538 Polls Plus 85.3% 14.7% 70.6%
538 Polls Only 88.1% 11.9% 76.2%
538 Now-cast 90.7% 9.2% 81.5%
The Upshot (NY Times) 91% 9% 82%
DailyKos 96% 4% 92%
Princeton Electoral Consortium 95% 5% 90%
HuffingtonPost Forecast 92.9% 6.9% 86.0%
HuffPost Pollster* 49.2% 41.1% 8.1%
RealClearPolitics* 48.8% 41.8% 7.0%
Talking Points Memo* 48.7% 41.2% 7.5%
USC/LA Times** 43.7% 44.8% 1.1%
Betting Markets
Election Betting Odds** 82.3% 16.4% 65.9%
Predict It 80% 20% 60%
Paddy Power*** 85.7% 18.2% 67.5%
Poll results as of  10/17/2016  ( 22  days until election day)
*     Predicted percentage of vote total rather than probability of win
**   USC/LA Times polls is weird; they track the same group of 400 voters
*** Odds converted to probability [denominator / (denominator + numerator)]

 

Action for the Week

  Drinking Liberally does not take official stands on issues and does not endorse any political candidates or parties.  Items appearing in this message are listed at the discretion of the sender/poster, and are intended for information purposes only.  Any opinions expressed in this message are those of the sender/poster only and not of the Drinking Liberally organization.

* Are you registered?
* Early in-person voting (Oct 24 - Nov 4)
* Absentee ballot request (must be received by Oct 28)

 

Quotations of the Week

"In truth, the Hillary haters seem to resent her more than disagree with her.  They demand to be humored and catered to.  They hold her to wildly different standards than her male counterparts.  They regard her with an unprecedented degree of suspicion.  Above all, they really, really want to see her punished.  And an aggressive male presence - even if dangerously incompetent - seems to comfort a great many of them."
- Larry Womack

 

Poem of the Week

Red Sky

I have eaten my dinner

Do not despair

I have eaten my dinner and the Devil

When he comes will see

I have intact

A peripatetic philosophy

That prizes above all

Not fame

Not virtue

Never grace

But burnt asparagus                  red wine

Red wine like the red sky

The red slit of sky above you with

Salmon edges                  its holes

A turquoise belt at the horizon hiding

The woods I lie in

After a long walk

After a long walk through bramble                  pea shoots

Toasted old bread to dip

A creek warble                  short

Skirt shorter

After a long walk what is

Current                  what awaits

What awaits

What will break

The thrall of the Devil

About This Poem

"'Red Sky' is first in a series written under the spell of the memoirs of Mary MacLane, that thrilling silent screen star, feminist icon, rabble rouser, and originator of the confessional autobiography."
-Caryl Pagel

 

 

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * George Will:  Trump is chemotherapy for the GOP
* And a Republican woman has had enough
* Great tweetstorm:  how the email nonissue is hyped
* Creigh Deeds's story - recoverying from an attempted murder-suicide attack by his son
* Trump supporters are weird - demand repeal of the 19th Amendment
* We're a post-White-Christian nation
* Nice campaign ad for Clinton
* Just read this
* ... and this (longish, but really good)
* The problem with MRAs
* This is a real thing:  Pamela Anderson accused of trying to kill Julian Assange with veggie sandwich.  What a goddamn election.
* Why I'm voting for Trump and why
* Trump speeches can be useful (funny)
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Oct 18 Tues Candidate forum: - Jim De Angelis vs Janet Trujillo, 7pm, Senior Citizens Community Center (535 W 21st St)
 
Oct 19 Wed 3rd Presidential Debate Watch Party - Clinton vs Trump, Wednesday, October 19, 7pm, Bonneville Dem Headquarters at 640 S Woodruff
 
Oct 20 Thurs IF City Club:  Betsy Russell (Boise Bureau Chief for The Spokesman-Review), Eye on Idaho:  A Look at Current Idaho Politics (Bennion SUB, noon - 1:30pm)
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

Future of the GOP

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, October 13th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

Rudy Giuliani and Roger Ailes as cartoon villians

Candidate Forum  This Thursday evening (Oct 13), George Morrison will take on Bryan Zollinger in a no-holds-barred candidate forum the likes of which you haven't seen since Trump v Clinton II.  It will be at the Senior Citizens Community Center (535 W 21st St).  Both are running for District 33 State Representative (Position B).  The show is sponsored by Carolyn and the League of Women Voters, and starts at 7pm.

Note:  I plan to start my evening there, and then come to Drinking Liberally.


Black Lives Matter Public Forum  This Saturday (Oct 15), come discuss the banner hung by the Unitarian Universalist Church in Idaho Falls and the vandalism it has suffered.  It is at the Unitarian Universalist Church (555 E St), at 3pm.


I believe it's time to discuss the GOP's reaction to the upcoming defeat.  Following Clinton's win on November 8, the GOP will be in a precarious state.


I've said before somewhere that the GOP will not reverse course and just become a better party.  At least not right away.  They are not going to recognize the Faustian bargain they made by betting on white men to carry them through, let alone the nefarious turn towards white nationalism.  They won't back down on their belief that they control the sexual lives of women and gay people.  They won't relinquish their faith in their ability to make bathroom choices for everyone.  They will not acknowledge that they've been politically motivated to disbelieve evolution and global warming.

If we're lucky hey might admit that maybe promoting pussy-grabbing wasn't the best political move

But, as they proved back in 2012 after their election post-mortem, they are not able to correct most of their behavior even when they recognize that they should.

A friend on Facebook suggested that perhaps the best outcome might be for the establishment GOP leaders to just let the extremist base split off and form their own party, saying this:  "I'm also hoping this series of unfortunate events causes classical conservatives to reclaim their party and cast out the racist, sexist, angry and hard-hearted pretenders, from the Tea Partiers to the Trumpeteers."

She went on to describe why the classical establishment should bite the bullet and accept some years of losses in the short term in order to clean up the party and rid itself of the deplorable half.

I agree with her 100% - that should be the goal of the GOP.  Unfortunately, our political process is so short-term oriented these days.  It's truly hard to see how a consensus can be reached to follow such a path.  The current leadership of the GOP has been raised in an atmosphere of Gingrich & Delay.  What they know is conflict and strife.  Further, the ranks are full of people like Tom Cotton, Raul Labrador, and Ted Cruz.  People who don't recognize any reason to cooperate with the establishment of their party.

I heard one pundit recently talk about the decline of earmarks and pork as being at the heart of this problem.  It used to be that cooperation between the parties was actually bought by having these "prizes" that legislators could bring back to their constituents.  Since we have all started unreasonably whining about the debt level, and because pork spending is now frowned upon, there is almost no reason to cooperate any more.  There's nothing in it for the brash, anti-establishment types.  You can gain as much with your constituents by just posturing.

Coming along at the same time as this unfortunate dedication to austerity has been a degradation of the unwritten rules of governance - the "gentlemen's agreements" that guided behavior of legislators.  They have been trashed for political expediency.  The Hastert rule, for example.  The partisan involvement in the judicial and executive branches.  They hyper-partisan gerrymandering at the state level.  The conspiracy mongering and endless, pointless investigations.  The refusal to hold a nomination hearing for a SCOTUS nominee is only the latest example.

I think that there used to be an unspoken integrity to public servants.  It is much weaker these days.

All of that is to suggest that the two best options - gradual improvement and expulsion of the deplorables - don't seem to me to be possible.

So the result this time might be out of the GOP's hands.  They could be headed for a nastier, unplanned schism, a drastic reformation, or a collapse followed by replacement.  The more extreme changes are less likely, of course.

And given that their focus for the next four years will be to destroy the presidency of Hillary Clinton, it's likely to be an ugly period in American politics.

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Poll Trackers

    Source     Clinton     Trump     Lead          
538 Polls Plus 79.9% 20.1% 59.8%
538 Polls Only 83.5% 16.5% 67.0%
538 Now-cast 87.5% 12.5% 75.0%
The Upshot (NY Times) 88% 12% 76%
DailyKos 95% 5% 90%
HuffingtonPost Forecast 88.0% 11.7% 76.3%
HuffPost Pollster* 48.6% 41.5% 7.1%
RealClearPolitics* 47.9% 41.9% 6.0%
Talking Points Memo* 49.4% 40.5% 8.9%
USC/LA Times** 43.3% 45.3% 2.0%
Betting Markets
Election Betting Odds** 83.0% 15.4% 67.6%
Predict It 82% 19% 63%
Paddy Power*** 83.3% 20.0% 63.3%
Poll results as of  10/11/2016  ( 28  days until election day)
*     Predicted percentage of vote total rather than probability of win
**   USC/LA Times polls is weird; they track the same group of 400 voters
*** Odds converted to probability [denominator / (denominator + numerator)]

 

Action for the Week

  Drinking Liberally does not take official stands on issues and does not endorse any political candidates or parties.  Items appearing in this message are listed at the discretion of the sender/poster, and are intended for information purposes only.  Any opinions expressed in this message are those of the sender/poster only and not of the Drinking Liberally organization.

* Are you registered?

 

Quotations of the Week

"Here's Donald Trump.  He is the actual and physical embodiment of every single thing the GOP has trained its base to want and to be over the last forty years - ignorant, bigoted and money-grubbing, disdainful of facts and frightened of everything because of it, an angry drunk buzzed off of wood-grain patriotism, threatening brown people and leering at women.  He was planned.  He was intended.  He was expected.  He was wanted."
- John Scalzi

 

Poem of the Week

Poem About My Rights

Even tonight and I need to take a walk and clear
my head about this poem about why I can't
go out without changing my clothes my shoes
my body posture my gender identity my age
my status as a woman alone in the evening/
alone on the streets/alone not being the point/
the point being that I can't do what I want
to do with my own body because I am the wrong
sex the wrong age the wrong skin and
suppose it was not here in the city but down on the beach/
or far into the woods and I wanted to go
there by myself thinking about God/or thinking
about children or thinking about the world/all of it
disclosed by the stars and the silence:
I could not go and I could not think and I could not
stay there
alone
as I need to be
alone because I can't do what I want to do with my own
body and
who in the hell set things up
like this
and in France they say if the guy penetrates
but does not ejaculate then he did not rape me
and if after stabbing him if after screams if
after begging the bastard and if even after smashing
a hammer to his head if even after that if he
and his buddies fuck me after that
then I consented and there was
no rape because finally you understand finally
they fucked me over because I was wrong I was
wrong again to be me being me where I was/wrong
to be who I am
which is exactly like South Africa
penetrating into Namibia penetrating into
Angola and does that mean I mean how do you know if
Pretoria ejaculates what will the evidence look like the
proof of the monster jackboot ejaculation on Blackland
and if
after Namibia and if after Angola and if after Zimbabwe
and if after all of my kinsmen and women resist even to
self-immolation of the villages and if after that
we lose nevertheless what will the big boys say will they
claim my consent:
Do You Follow Me:  We are the wrong people of
the wrong skin on the wrong continent and what
in the hell is everybody being reasonable about
and according to the Times this week
back in 1966 the C.I.A. decided that they had this problem
and the problem was a man named Nkrumah so they
killed him and before that it was Patrice Lumumba
and before that it was my father on the campus
of my Ivy League school and my father afraid
to walk into the cafeteria because he said he
was wrong the wrong age the wrong skin the wrong
gender identity and he was paying my tuition and
before that
it was my father saying I was wrong saying that
I should have been a boy because he wanted one/a
boy and that I should have been lighter skinned and
that I should have had straighter hair and that
I should not be so boy crazy but instead I should
just be one/a boy and before that
it was my mother pleading plastic surgery for
my nose and braces for my teeth and telling me
to let the books loose to let them loose in other
words
I am very familiar with the problems of the C.I.A.
and the problems of South Africa and the problems
of Exxon Corporation and the problems of white
America in general and the problems of the teachers
and the preachers and the F.B.I. and the social
workers and my particular Mom and Dad/I am very
familiar with the problems because the problems
turn out to be
me
I am the history of rape
I am the history of the rejection of who I am
I am the history of the terrorized incarceration of
myself
I am the history of battery assault and limitless
armies against whatever I want to do with my mind
and my body and my soul and
whether it's about walking out at night
or whether it's about the love that I feel or
whether it's about the sanctity of my vagina or
the sanctity of my national boundaries
or the sanctity of my leaders or the sanctity
of each and every desire
that I know from my personal and idiosyncratic
and indisputably single and singular heart
I have been raped
be-
cause I have been wrong the wrong sex the wrong age
the wrong skin the wrong nose the wrong hair the
wrong need the wrong dream the wrong geographic
the wrong sartorial I
I have been the meaning of rape
I have been the problem everyone seeks to
eliminate by forced
penetration with or without the evidence of slime and/
but let this be unmistakable this poem
is not consent I do not consent
to my mother to my father to the teachers to
the F.B.I. to South Africa to Bedford-Stuy
to Park Avenue to American Airlines to the hardon
idlers on the corners to the sneaky creeps in
cars
I am not wrong:  Wrong is not my name
My name is my own my own my own
and I can't tell you who the hell set things up like this
but I can tell you that from now on my resistance
my simple and daily and nightly self-determination
may very well cost you your life

June Jordan

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

Schedule

       
Oct 13 Thurs Candidate Forum:  George Morrison v Bryan Zollinger (District 33 State Representative, Position B), 7pm, Senior Citizens Community Center
 
Oct 15 Sat Black Lives Matter Public Forum at the Unitarian Universalist Church (555 E St), 3-5pm
 
Oct 19 Wed 3rd Presidential Debate
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

24 Hours of Trump

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, October 6th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

From Happy Toast Arts (more pics there)

VP Debate Watch Party!

Tuesday is the night, and the debate promises to be a bit more substantive than the last one.  Which means it might be a little dry.  Which is EXACTLY WHY you need to watch with a fun group!

This watch party is a joint production of Drinking Liberally and the Bonneville Democrats, so it should be a ton of fun.  We're meeting at the new Bonneville Dem's Election Headquarters at 640 S Woodruff.

Please let me know if you would like to attend by RSVPing at the Facebook event.  Or reply to this email.  Or call me at (208) 351-2775.  Or just show up, no biggie.

We will be chipping in to order some pizzas if you'd like to participate, and feel free to bring some beverages of your choice.


I can't tell if I have nothing to write about this week, or that I have too much spinning around in my head.  Today I thought of the phrase "target-rich environment," and how much of a pathetic understatement it is for the Trump Campaign.  There has to be a stronger, more descriptive phrase.

The following events were from the last 24 hours.

Yesterday, I learned of another Trump outrage that I had not heard about before:

In 1983, [Trump was] among those named in sales tax fraud at the Bulgari store on Fifth Ave.  [He] bought $65,000 worth of jewelry and evaded the tax by having empty boxes mailed out of state.  Mayor Ed Koch said at the time that [he] and other customers should be jailed for 15 days as tax criminals.

Does a multi-billionaire need to skip out on state sales tax?  Say the NY state sales tax was 12% back in 1983.  That works out to $7,800.  He broke the law for that much.  Apparently, he did it multiple times, then testified against the store.


Today, the New York state attorney general ordered the Trump Foundation to cease fundraising after determining that it had been operating without proper authorization.  Real law and order guy, that Trump.  But the problems go way deeper than just not having the appropriate signatures.  It is a seriously unlawful enterprise.  Listen to Terry Gross interview WaPo journalist David Farenthold on Fresh Air last week.  [I've been predicting lately that David Farenthold will be winning the Pulitzer prize for his work this year.  I'm not the first.]

Then, tonight there is more news of Trump's illegal activities - giving 10 times the legal limit to the campaign of a former Florida attorney general, while Trump was doing business in the state.  This case, like many others, seems air-tight.

Then there's this, which just goes to show what kind of people that Trump surrounds himself with.

I've got nothing profound to say about any of these cases, or about the whole embarrassing campaign of Donald J. Trump.  I think we're all right to conclude that he's in for some serious legal troubles once this election is over.

Perhaps we should have a contest to come up with a more fitting phrase than "target-rich environment."  Any suggestions?

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Poll Trackers

    Source     Clinton     Trump                     
538 Polls Plus 68.5% 31.5%
538 Polls Only 71.8% 28.2%
538 Now-cast 79.8% 20.2%
The Upshot (NY Times) 78% 22%
DailyKos 72% 28%
HuffingtonPost Forecast 82.6% 17.2%
HuffPost Pollster * 47.6% 41.6%
RealClearPolitics * 47.9% 44.8%
Talking Points Memo * 48.3% 42.2%
Predict It 71% 30%
Paddy Power ** 73.3% 28.6%
Poll results as of 10/3/2016 (35 days until election day)
*  Predicted percentage of vote total rather than probability of win
** Odds converted to probability [denominator / (denominator + numerator)]

 

Quotations of the Week

"6. In 1983, you were among those named in sales tax fraud at the Bulgari store on Fifth Ave.  You bought $65,000 worth of jewelry and evaded the tax by having empty boxes mailed out of state.  Mayor Ed Koch said at the time that you and other customers should be jailed for 15 days as tax criminals.  Should this fraud disqualify you from becoming President? If not, explain why."
- Question to Trump from David Cay Johnston

 

"I think that certainly there are many role models that we have, and I believe he can serve as president, so absolutely, I would do that."
- Sen Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), asked in a debate whether she would call Trump a role model for kids

 

"I misspoke tonight.  While I would hope all of our children would aspire to be president, neither Donald Trump nor Hillary Clinton have set a good example and I wouldn't hold up either of them as role models for my kids."
- Sen Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), about 3 hrs later

 

Poem of the Week

Appeal to the Grammarians

We, the naturally hopeful,
Need a simple sign
For the myriad ways we're capsized.
We who love precise language
Need a finer way to convey
Disappointment and perplexity.
For speechlessness and all its inflections,
For up-ended expectations,
For every time we're ambushed
By trivial or stupefying irony,
For pure incredulity, we need
The inverted exclamation point.
For the dropped smile, the limp handshake,
For whoever has just unwrapped a dumb gift
Or taken the first sip of a flat beer,
Or felt love or pond ice
Give way underfoot, we deserve it.
We need it for the air pocket, the scratch shot,
The child whose ball doesn't bounce back,
The flat tire at journey's outset,
The odyssey that ends up in Weehawken.
But mainly because I need it - here and now
As I sit outside the Caffe Reggio
Staring at my espresso and cannoli
After this middle-aged couple
Came strolling by and he suddenly
Veered and sneezed all over my table
And she said to him, "See, that's why
I don't like to eat outside."

Paul Violi

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Another day, another Trump scandal
* Scary and disturbing story of a Trump fan
* Here's a very good editorial
* Hilarious Trump photoes (more like the one above)
* Great debate parody
* ... and the SNL version
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Oct 4 Tues VP Debate
 
Oct 9 Sun 2nd Presidential Debate
 
Oct 15 Sat Black Lives Matter Public Forum at the Unitarian Universalist Church (555 E St), 3-5pm
 
Oct 19 Wed 3rd Presidential Debate
 

 

 

Thursday Night DL at the Bee's Knees

 

24 Hours of Trump

   Next meeting:
  Date Thursday, October 6th
Time 7 to 9pm (show up when you can)
Place Bee's Knees at 850 Lindsay Blvd (in the front of the FairBridge Inn, formerly the Guesthouse Inn)
 

From Happy Toast Arts (more pics there)

VP Debate Watch Party!

Tuesday is the night, and the debate promises to be a bit more substantive than the last one.  Which means it might be a little dry.  Which is EXACTLY WHY you need to watch with a fun group!

This watch party is a joint production of Drinking Liberally and the Bonneville Democrats, so it should be a ton of fun.  We're meeting at the new Bonneville Dem's Election Headquarters at 640 S Woodruff.

Please let me know if you would like to attend by RSVPing at the Facebook event.  Or reply to this email.  Or call me at (208) 351-2775.  Or just show up, no biggie.

We will be chipping in to order some pizzas if you'd like to participate, and feel free to bring some beverages of your choice.


I can't tell if I have nothing to write about this week, or that I have too much spinning around in my head.  Today I thought of the phrase "target-rich environment," and how much of a pathetic understatement it is for the Trump Campaign.  There has to be a stronger, more descriptive phrase.

The following events were from the last 24 hours.

Yesterday, I learned of another Trump outrage that I had not heard about before:

In 1983, [Trump was] among those named in sales tax fraud at the Bulgari store on Fifth Ave.  [He] bought $65,000 worth of jewelry and evaded the tax by having empty boxes mailed out of state.  Mayor Ed Koch said at the time that [he] and other customers should be jailed for 15 days as tax criminals.

Does a multi-billionaire need to skip out on state sales tax?  Say the NY state sales tax was 12% back in 1983.  That works out to $7,800.  He broke the law for that much.  Apparently, he did it multiple times, then testified against the store.


Today, the New York state attorney general ordered the Trump Foundation to cease fundraising after determining that it had been operating without proper authorization.  Real law and order guy, that Trump.  But the problems go way deeper than just not having the appropriate signatures.  It is a seriously unlawful enterprise.  Listen to Terry Gross interview WaPo journalist David Farenthold on Fresh Air last week.  [I've been predicting lately that David Farenthold will be winning the Pulitzer prize for his work this year.  I'm not the first.]

Then, tonight there is more news of Trump's illegal activities - giving 10 times the legal limit to the campaign of a former Florida attorney general, while Trump was doing business in the state.  This case, like many others, seems air-tight.

Then there's this, which just goes to show what kind of people that Trump surrounds himself with.

I've got nothing profound to say about any of these cases, or about the whole embarrassing campaign of Donald J. Trump.  I think we're all right to conclude that he's in for some serious legal troubles once this election is over.

Perhaps we should have a contest to come up with a more fitting phrase than "target-rich environment."  Any suggestions?

Cheers,
Dan

 

Contact

Follow IFDrinkLib on Facebook     Follow IFDrinkLib on Twitter     Email me

 

Poll Trackers

    Source     Clinton     Trump                     
538 Polls Plus 68.5% 31.5%
538 Polls Only 71.8% 28.2%
538 Now-cast 79.8% 20.2%
The Upshot (NY Times) 78% 22%
DailyKos 72% 28%
HuffingtonPost Forecast 82.6% 17.2%
HuffPost Pollster * 47.6% 41.6%
RealClearPolitics * 47.9% 44.8%
Talking Points Memo * 48.3% 42.2%
Predict It 71% 30%
Paddy Power ** 73.3% 28.6%
Poll results as of 10/3/2016 (35 days until election day)
*  Predicted percentage of vote total rather than probability of win
** Odds converted to probability [denominator / (denominator + numerator)]

 

Quotations of the Week

"6. In 1983, you were among those named in sales tax fraud at the Bulgari store on Fifth Ave.  You bought $65,000 worth of jewelry and evaded the tax by having empty boxes mailed out of state.  Mayor Ed Koch said at the time that you and other customers should be jailed for 15 days as tax criminals.  Should this fraud disqualify you from becoming President? If not, explain why."
- Question to Trump from David Cay Johnston

 

"I think that certainly there are many role models that we have, and I believe he can serve as president, so absolutely, I would do that."
- Sen Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), asked in a debate whether she would call Trump a role model for kids

 

"I misspoke tonight.  While I would hope all of our children would aspire to be president, neither Donald Trump nor Hillary Clinton have set a good example and I wouldn't hold up either of them as role models for my kids."
- Sen Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), about 3 hrs later

 

Poem of the Week

Appeal to the Grammarians

We, the naturally hopeful,
Need a simple sign
For the myriad ways we're capsized.
We who love precise language
Need a finer way to convey
Disappointment and perplexity.
For speechlessness and all its inflections,
For up-ended expectations,
For every time we're ambushed
By trivial or stupefying irony,
For pure incredulity, we need
The inverted exclamation point.
For the dropped smile, the limp handshake,
For whoever has just unwrapped a dumb gift
Or taken the first sip of a flat beer,
Or felt love or pond ice
Give way underfoot, we deserve it.
We need it for the air pocket, the scratch shot,
The child whose ball doesn't bounce back,
The flat tire at journey's outset,
The odyssey that ends up in Weehawken.
But mainly because I need it - here and now
As I sit outside the Caffe Reggio
Staring at my espresso and cannoli
After this middle-aged couple
Came strolling by and he suddenly
Veered and sneezed all over my table
And she said to him, "See, that's why
I don't like to eat outside."

Paul Violi

 

 

links ... links ... Links ... LINKS ... LINKS!

  * Another day, another Trump scandal
* Scary and disturbing story of a Trump fan
* Here's a very good editorial
* Hilarious Trump photoes (more like the one above)
* Great debate parody
* ... and the SNL version
  * If you need more excellent linkage, check out Yankton, Oakland, or Pasadena

 

Schedule

       
Oct 4 Tues VP Debate
 
Oct 9 Sun 2nd Presidential Debate
 
Oct 15 Sat Black Lives Matter Public Forum at the Unitarian Universalist Church (555 E St), 3-5pm
 
Oct 19 Wed 3rd Presidential Debate